ESPN released projected EoS records for all SEC schools based on FPI (10,000 computer simulations) and came up with 5 schools missing bowl invites (including Mizzou who is ineligible).
However, they project both SoCar and KY to qualify at TEN's expense (rather dubious to me). And they have SoCar beating App St without comment.
They also admit that there is no programmable variance to calculate the loss of Tua. The data that formed the basis for the calculations is considered to be invariable, because injuries are an assumed part of the game.
So i figure at least 6 to stay home, but hopefully 7. Out of 14. That's gonna cost some schools some money.
Meanwhile i think the ACC will have 11-12 bowl-eligible teams, (2-3 stay at home) but no one has published an FPI yet.