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Orange Blooded [2250]
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Joined: 12/1/07
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Worst case scenario
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:11 PM
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What if nc st or bc won the acc and picked up the auto bid. Would Clemson still be a lock.
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All-In [30461]
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Joined: 12/20/99
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Based on the way, we ended the season we shouldnt be a lock either way
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:40 PM
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We will probably make the NCAA… But it wouldn’t shock me for us to be the first out and get an NIT bid
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CU Guru [1461]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Joined: 1/10/16
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I cant see the selection committee inviting Clemson at this point
Mar 14, 2024, 9:48 PM
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The NCAA wants close, competitive games, and we haven’t shown that we’re with the risk of voters turning off the game.
Losing the last three games … getting blown out in the last one… might just have ended those dreams. NIT, here we come!!
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CU Guru [1461]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Autocorrect
Mar 14, 2024, 9:50 PM
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… worth the risk of viewers …
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Letterman [290]
TigerPulse: 99%
Posts: 236
Joined: 9/5/22
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Would not effect us it would knock out a team that is
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:43 PM
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on the bubble
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Orange Blooded [2606]
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Re: Would not effect us it would knock out a team that is
Mar 14, 2024, 11:10 PM
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Correct!
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CU Guru [1779]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 3075
Joined: 11/2/00
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Worst case scenario - We keep Brad no matter
Mar 14, 2024, 9:44 PM
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what happens. Next year we stink and he's given a pass because of the people he loses this year, and then we have him another year.
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110%er [7497]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Joined: 2/2/01
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We are a lock - no scenario anywhere could knock us out
Mar 14, 2024, 9:45 PM
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ACCT only potentially impacts UVA, WF and Pitt. If BC or State win then one of those could lose their spot but so could any of the other non-ACC teams on the bubble. We are not on the bubble - no where close to it.
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110%er [9736]
TigerPulse: 69%
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Joined: 1/18/17
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Who says?***
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:46 PM
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110%er [9736]
TigerPulse: 69%
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Joined: 1/18/17
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Some geniuses on here do not think it matters
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:46 PM
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what other teams do this weekend.
They are wrong.
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All-In [28417]
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this is why no team should be allowed in on paper solely
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Mar 14, 2024, 9:51 PM
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especially 4 month old paper that has been shid all over at the bottom of the litter box.
eye test does matter - bilas is correct.
and this team for two months doesn’t pass the eye test.
every team gets a good win or two. anyone can do that.
doesn’t make you good or worthy of jack.
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110%er [7497]
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We were 6-2 in Feb with 2 1 point losses. Its
Mar 14, 2024, 11:18 PM
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not just about what we did in Nov/Dec.
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Legend [16930]
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Re: Worst case scenario
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Mar 14, 2024, 10:17 PM
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I appear to be one of the only folks who actually looks pretty intently at this stuff and doesn’t think we’re a “lock”. It’s pretty unlikely we’ll get bumped but it is possible. First, a lot of “bracketologists” haven’t really wrapped their head around NET versus RPI. RPI had a very strong correlation with strength of schedule. Significant variations become harder and harder with each game played. The Offensive and Defensive Efficiency metrics allows for much bigger swings late in the season. For evidence see BC thwacking us 9 places and them moving up 15 places over 30 games in. That’s cause they humiliated us on both sides of the ball. Dynamic shifts can still happen.
If you look at the NET rankings versus projected seedings, Clemson is the 5th highest overseeded team right now. Clemson has never, ever, been overseeded by an NCAA committee. They have been left out with what is tied for the best RPI ever left out. And being left out with a 45 NET is pretty high too. One thing the committee absolutely does not look at are bracketologists projections.
If the wrong teams keep winning, both in the ACC and other conferences we could be in trouble. Not because the committee will arbitrarily decide to switch us with another ACC team. But because our NET will sink far enough as other resumes improve. Clemson, Wake, UVA, and Pitt came into the day within 17 places of each other top to bottom. Clemson has been at the top of that pack all season which is a big part of why they are so heavily presumed to be safely in. There is a chance, slim, but a chance that of games go the wrong way Clemson could end up 3rd or 4th in the pack with the overall ranking of the group slipping. In that scenario, Clemson could be left out. If there is little movement in NET tomorrow, they’re probably safe.
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