The thing about the CFP poll and our current ranking….

Nov 16, 2022, 2:17 PM

Is that we are going to be pretty stationary the next couple of weeks…and then it will likely take a big jump conference championship weekend.
Pretty sure that Bama & LSU will simply stay ahead of us the next 2 weeks, even with 2 losses. So will Tennessee with their 1 loss.
If USC loses one of the next two, we’d move up and I suppose we’d just stay behind Bama, even though they play Austin Peay….I guess there’s a slight chance of us jumping them.
I do think TCU would drop a good bit if they lose one of the next two.
But it seems to me that we’d have to win the conference championship and jump like 4 or 5 spots in one day to get to number 4.
That seems unlikely…but the biggest question is the amount of separation among teams in the top 10 at that point.
I think right now the top 5 is there and there’s a gap between 5 & 6…mainly due to UT beating both LSU & Bama. I think teams 6 through 9 are almost interchangeable at the moment…which is why we can move up if we win out and have the conference championship with us.
But a couple from the top 5 will have to fall to open the door.

And since another thread asked….yes, we should aim high and carry our slingshot with us if we have to go face Goliath as a 4 seed.
The whole ‘getting embarrassed’ fear thing is silly. Michigan got owned last year in the CFP…and they are 10-0 this year. Bama eventually made it back to the CFP after the 44-16. Ohio St recovered from 31-0. Seems like they all dealt with embarrassment OK. But what if we actually played decently well and made it close or even won?

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