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Orange Blooded [2669]
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A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 3:21 PM
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The ACC is going to be better this year. I thought the ACC was underrated top to bottom last year and I believe that proved to be true come tourney time. Having said that, our schedule is surprisingly easy compared to what it could be.
We play the following teams 2 times (home and home). I'm using a CBS prediction. At this point, most predictions are dead wrong. We avoid playing UNC, Duke, and Virginia twice. I believe those are the top 3 teams in the ACC. We could easily have a 7-5 record in these 12 games, beating GT, and Louisville home and away, losing to FSU home and away, and then splitting w/ the other teams. Realistically we are looking at 7-5 in these games.
Wake Forest - Projected to finish 8
Georgia Tech - Projected to finish 15
Virginia Tech - Projected to finish 7
Louisville - Projected to finish 13
FSU - Projected to finish 5
NCSU - Projected to finish 10
We play the remaining teams only once. A 2-2 record on the road, and 2-2 record at home I believe is very attainable. That would make us 4-4 against the teams we only play once.
Pitt Away - Projected to finish 14
Duke Home - Projected to finish 2
BC Away - Projected to finish 12
Miami Home - Projected to finish 4
UNC Away - Projected to finish 1
Syracuse Home - Projected to finish 9
UVA Away - Projected to finish 3
ND Home - Projected to finish 6
That would put us at 11-9 overall in the ACC. That record was good for 7th overall last year. Again, I feel like I'm being realistic and even conservative here given our schedule. I believe we could do better. It's crazy to say, but 12-8 or even 13-7 season could realistically happen.
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All-In [26617]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Joined: 9/2/02
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Foul! ... for poasting basketball stuff in mid October***
Oct 12, 2022, 3:26 PM
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All-TigerNet [11522]
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Joined: 10/27/04
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 3:31 PM
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The ACC is going to be better this year. I thought the ACC was underrated top to bottom last year and I believe that proved to be true come tourney time. Having said that, our schedule is surprisingly easy compared to what it could be.
We play the following teams 2 times (home and home). I'm using a CBS prediction. At this point, most predictions are dead wrong. We avoid playing UNC, Duke, and Virginia twice. I believe those are the top 3 teams in the ACC. We could easily have a 7-5 record in these 12 games, beating GT, and Louisville home and away, losing to FSU home and away, and then splitting w/ the other teams. Realistically we are looking at 7-5 in these games.
Wake Forest - Projected to finish 8
Georgia Tech - Projected to finish 15
Virginia Tech - Projected to finish 7
Louisville - Projected to finish 13
FSU - Projected to finish 5
NCSU - Projected to finish 10
We play the remaining teams only once. A 2-2 record on the road, and 2-2 record at home I believe is very attainable. That would make us 4-4 against the teams we only play once.
Pitt Away - Projected to finish 14
Duke Home - Projected to finish 2
BC Away - Projected to finish 12
Miami Home - Projected to finish 4
UNC Away - Projected to finish 1
Syracuse Home - Projected to finish 9
UVA Away - Projected to finish 3
ND Home - Projected to finish 6
That would put us at 11-9 overall in the ACC. That record was good for 7th overall last year. Again, I feel like I'm being realistic and even conservative here given our schedule. I believe we could do better. It's crazy to say, but 12-8 or even 13-7 season could realistically happen.
Good breakdown, also the non conference is actually underrated with the amount of good sneaky mid major teams. Loyola, Richmond and Towson can actually beat some good top top 25 type teams. Hope is PJ is ready before get most of those games in December.
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Orange Blooded [2669]
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 3:45 PM
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Not doubting that, but we need to win those games. We have the experience and talent even without pj hall to win those games.
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Team Captain [491]
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 10:14 PM
[ in reply to Re: A look into our Schedule ] |
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Or, Shayatt, or Ship could happen. Per the usual, the BB teams always find ways to lose games that are gimmies. (Review the BC home game from 2021.)
It seems your analysis did not include those 4-6 stumblebum losses.
While I hope that Shayatt doesn't happen, in this season, I sadly remember our first-round loss to Oakland College, from Michigan, in a fairly-recent post-season tournament game -- on our gym floor. We were never in that game, per my recollection. A colossal coaching failure.
Sadly, I expect more Shayatt in 2022/2023.
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Orange Blooded [2669]
TigerPulse: 81%
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 11:01 PM
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Also, brownell typically upsets some teams, which I didn't really account for.
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All-In [48845]
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Joined: 11/7/20
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 13, 2022, 8:53 AM
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I don't think 11-9 and a 20 to 21 win NCAA tournament bid is unrealistic even with PJ out most of the season. 13-7 conference record with a healthy PJ very much in play.
PJ's presence alone will win some games because he can draw the defense in and open up shots on the perimeter. If we can draw defense out, then PJ and chief can dominate inside.
I applaud your efforts on trying to have a productive discussion/debate on Tnet. It's a rarity.
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All-In [44090]
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All basketball teams are inconsistent.
Oct 12, 2022, 11:33 PM
[ in reply to Re: A look into our Schedule ] |
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Losing games you shouldn’t lose is not a problem unique to Brownell.
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Rock Defender [66]
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Re: All basketball teams are inconsistent.
Oct 13, 2022, 9:07 AM
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If no teams lost games they weren't supposed to there would be no reason to watch unless it was a tossup.
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Scout Team [153]
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Posts: 254
Joined: 4/16/16
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Re: A look into our Schedule
Oct 12, 2022, 11:35 PM
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not going to happen
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