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Objective comparison of recruiting services
Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
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Replies: 4
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Objective comparison of recruiting services

2
Dec 27, 2023, 3:06 PM
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Someone should do a statistical analysis of the services using some kind of objective measure of outcome. Probably someone has. But, as an example, a player's adjusted star value could go something like this:

5 star - Named to an all-American team
4 star - NFL drafted
3 star - NFL free agent / CFL / USFL
2 star - starter for multiple seasons

Now compare this to the star rating given to each player by the services and calculate which came closest.

Just an idea, and I'd love to read other ideas for an objective measure.

I should probably suggest this on the Georgia Tech board. 8-)

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

247 actually limits the count of 5 stars to 32 to match the number of NFL teams

2
Dec 27, 2023, 3:38 PM
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Their SOP is that a 5 star should be a 1st round draft choice hence the 32 maximum

2024 white level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: 247 actually limits the count of 5 stars to 32 to match the number of NFL teams


Dec 27, 2023, 6:21 PM
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Well they have been off on a ton of 5 stars that should have been 3 or 4, and a ton of 4 stars that should have been 5.

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Objective comparison of recruiting services

2
Dec 27, 2023, 4:24 PM
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Yeah, you're getting deep into the weeds there. If I'm understanding your question correctly, you're saying like a players post college rating.

Otherwords, rivals rates player x as a high school rating of 4* but then player x turns out to be a bench player his entire career. And then vice-versa n/r kid like renfrow post college rating of 5*... and then calculate each service hit/miss ratio.

It would be a neat stat but the variables are nearly impossible to calculate. Player gets hurt, who coaches him, how many coaches, did he transfer, what was depth like at the team he was on... virtually endless.

Now, that said, Dabo has a very sophisticated system to eval a kid. Way more than film and measurements etc. Interesting stuff.

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Objective comparison of recruiting services


Dec 27, 2023, 6:20 PM
Reply

"It would be a neat stat but the variables are nearly impossible to calculate. Player gets hurt, who coaches him, how many coaches, did he transfer, what was depth like at the team he was on... virtually endless. "

Good points, but Ga Tech nerds can write an algorithm to account for all of that.

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Replies: 4
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Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
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