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All-In [26968]
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Week 14 Prodigal Ratings
Dec 3, 2012, 9:03 AM
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Like the computers, my ratings like Florida better than Alabama. But it is extremely close. They are separated by .003 "points". If Navy beats Army as expected in the last regular season game, the gap between Florida and Alabama will tighten to .001 points, but still with Florida ahead. (Navy played FAU, who also played Bama, so a Navy win would give an ever-so-slight boost to the Tide.)
I will post a full year-end ranking of all 124 teams next week. For now, here is the Top 30, which obviously is pretty much set in stone going into bowl season.
| Rank | Pvs | Team | W-L | PDiff | SOS |
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| 1 | 1 | Notre Dame | 12-0 | 10 | 16 | | 2 | 2 | Florida | 10-1 | 16 | 2 | | 3 | 3 | Alabama | 11-1 | 2 | 30 | | 4 | 4 | Oregon | 10-1 | 1 | 32 | | 5 | 5 | Texas A&M | 8-2 | 4 | 8 | | 6 | 6 | Kansas St. | 10-1 | 7 | 36 | | 7 | 8 | Stanford | 11-2 | 25 | 12 | | 8 | 7 | Ohio St. | 12-0 | 13 | 65 | | 9 | 10 | LSU | 9-2 | 15 | 18 | | 10 | 12 | Oklahoma | 9-2 | 20 | 20 | | 11 | 11 | South Carolina | 9-2 | 14 | 27 | | 12 | 9 | Georgia | 10-2 | 8 | 43 | | 13 | 13 | Nebraska | 9-3 | 49 | 11 | | 14 | 15 | Oregon St. | 8-3 | 35 | 13 | | 15 | 14 | Florida St. | 8-2 | 5 | 72 | | 16 | 16 | Clemson | 9-2 | 11 | 71 | | 17 | 17 | San Jose St. | 9-2 | 22 | 70 | | 18 | 18 | Michigan | 8-4 | 24 | 31 | | 19 | 32 | Wisconsin | 7-5 | 21 | 28 | | 20 | 21 | Fresno St. | 8-3 | 9 | 77 | | 21 | 20 | UCLA | 9-4 | 30 | 47 | | 22 | 27 | Northern Illinois | 11-1 | 3 | 124 | | 23 | 23 | Utah St. | 9-2 | 6 | 110 | | 24 | 19 | Oklahoma St. | 6-5 | 32 | 14 | | 25 | 24 | USC | 7-5 | 29 | 29 | | 26 | 25 | Cincinnati | 7-3 | 23 | 68 | | 27 | 22 | Texas | 8-4 | 40 | 45 | | 28 | 26 | Northwestern | 8-3 | 39 | 67 | | 29 | 30 | Boise St. | 10-2 | 12 | 116 | | 30 | 28 | Penn St. | 8-4 | 28 | 55 |
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Letterman [295]
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How did Nebraska not drop at all but Wisc. up 13?***
Dec 3, 2012, 9:09 AM
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All-In [26968]
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Must have been a pretty sizeable gap between 13 and 14
Dec 3, 2012, 9:13 AM
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Last week. Now there is a pretty sizeable gap between 12 and 13, and a very small one between 13 and 14.
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All-In [26968]
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That "124" in the SOS column for Northern Illinois
Dec 3, 2012, 9:11 AM
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Means that, according to my ratings, they played the weakest schedule of any team in the country.
Here are their opponents this year, with their ranking in my system:
#36 Kent St.
#39 Ball St.
#42 Toledo
#76 Iowa (LOSS)
#89 Central Michigan
#97 Buffalo
#103 Western Michigan
#105 Army
#108 Eastern Michigan
#110 Kansas
#121 Akron
#123 Massachusetts
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Oculus Spirit [81996]
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Apparently load up on directional Michigans and you'll get a
Dec 3, 2012, 9:23 AM
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BCS bowl.
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Heisman Winner [105777]
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Where is LaTech in your rankings? At home for the holidays?***
Dec 3, 2012, 9:11 AM
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All-In [26968]
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49***
Dec 3, 2012, 9:13 AM
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Oculus Spirit [81996]
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CLEMSON IS 10-2, NOT 9-2.
Dec 3, 2012, 9:14 AM
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What the mange would say.
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Heisman Winner [135804]
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And, STATE CHAMPS in basketball.
Dec 3, 2012, 9:17 AM
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Bewm. Sizzle. Point differential.
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Rock Defender [54]
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Why is uga below scar?
Dec 3, 2012, 9:17 AM
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And uga beat uf and yet you have them 10 spots below?
lol. No prejudice what so ever.
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All-In [26968]
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Because UGA's opponents have a .500 winning percentage
Dec 3, 2012, 9:24 AM
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USC's opponents have a .577 winning percentage, and Florida's opponents have a .673 winning percentage.
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All-In [26968]
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Which part of
Dec 3, 2012, 9:27 AM
[ in reply to Why is uga below scar? ] |
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.35*(PDiff + .3333*OPDiff + .1111*OOPDiff) + .65*(W% + .3333*OW% + .1111*OOW%)
is prejudiced against UGA?
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Heisman Winner [105777]
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probably the .3333, but I'm not sure
Dec 3, 2012, 9:35 AM
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people get really butthurt over Prod's rankings
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All-In [26968]
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It's just slightly annoying to me...
Dec 3, 2012, 9:38 AM
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When someone thinks that these ratings are "biased" somehow. It's all just a math formula.
If I were to put my own bias in, I would have UGA above Florida and USC, because I think they're better at this point.
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Heisman Winner [135804]
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Like the old saying goes...
Dec 3, 2012, 9:41 AM
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You can't have two birds in the bush when you're skinning a cat, and eat it too.
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Heisman Winner [105777]
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it's probably because everyone knows you are a fan of the
Dec 3, 2012, 9:42 AM
[ in reply to It's just slightly annoying to me... ] |
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Braves or something like that.
The real issue is who really cares that much? It is something you like to do and it means NOTHING to real rankings. I think I might create rankings some time with no math involved, purely how much I like teams.
Top 10:
1. Norte ###
2. Oregon
3. Kansas Tate
4. Clemson
5. NIU
6. Oklahoma
7. Allybammer
8. Flo-Rida (The rapper, not the team)
9. Flo-Ridas Tate
10. Indiana
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Rock Defender [54]
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Ohhhhh so it's a math formula.....
Dec 3, 2012, 10:52 AM
[ in reply to Which part of ] |
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not just personal opinion. My apologies.
It could use more variables.
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CU Medallion [73569]
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64-55.
Dec 3, 2012, 9:20 AM
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that'll take the 4 in a row stinger out 
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All-TigerNet [11645]
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Re: Week 14 Prodigal Ratings
Dec 3, 2012, 9:28 AM
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Nebraska is a joke. Clemson would hang 50+ on them.
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50
