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YOUR BALANCE
ESPN loves Clemson ... even more than the SEC teams. Allow
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ESPN loves Clemson ... even more than the SEC teams. Allow


Oct 15, 2016, 4:32 PM
winprobability.jpg(210.3 K)

me to demonstrate with this simple image from their web site.

Even with a 35-yard chip shot with 2 seconds to go, they only give opponents a 90% chance to beat our Tigers.

It's true - the interweb says so.

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“Clemson wasn’t that much better with Trevor Lawrence, if at all.”


Pretty accurate. State's kicker would


Oct 15, 2016, 4:36 PM

Probably make 9 of 10 FGs from that far out. Maybe more like 7-8 out of 10 if they are game winners on the road with an all out block coming. Of course even if he misses State could still win in overtime so that is also factored in

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im assuming you were thinking their chance to win


Oct 15, 2016, 4:38 PM

Should have been like 99%. That would be stupid bc that would imply the dude could hit 99/100 FGs from that distance. That's tough even for the best kickers

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Fox Sports was 80% NCS chance at the FG attempt


Oct 15, 2016, 4:45 PM

And throughout OT it was 58% CU 42% NCS, until the interception.

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With all his success, his highest salary was $25,000 a year. The president of the university, Dr. R. F. Poole, feared that professors who earned less would be upset. "He called me up and said that he didn't want me to tell anybody what I made," Howard once said. "I said: 'Doc, you don't have to worry. I'm as ashamed as you are of what you pay me.' " - Frank Howard Obituary, New York Times, 01/27/1996


Re: Fox Sports was 80% NCS chance at the FG attempt


Oct 15, 2016, 4:54 PM

Yea I like Fox odds better in that situation

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Sounds about right. State's kicker is not good. If you give


Oct 15, 2016, 5:00 PM

him an 83% (makes 5 out of 6) chance to make it and then give state a 40% chance to win in OT that gives us about a 10% chance to win. Sounds pretty reasonable.

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