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YOUR BALANCE
BCS Standings (long, but good)
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BCS Standings (long, but good)


Nov 11, 2012, 4:10 PM

From last week:
1. Bama (SEC Champ, auto-bid)
2. K-State (Big 12 Champ, auto-bid)
3. Oregon (Pac 12 Champ, auto-bid)
4. Notre Dame (Auto-bid per ND BCS rules, smh)
5. UGA (At-Large, BCS replacement for Bama)
6. Florida (OUT PER BCS RULES)
7. LSU (OUT PER BCS RULES)
8. SCar (OUT PER BCS RULES)
9. Louisville (Big East Champ, auto-bid)
10. FSU (ACC Champ, auto-bid)
11. Oregon State (Lost)
12. OU
13. Clemson
14. Stanford
15. Texas A&M (OUT PER BCS RULES)
16. Nebraska (Big Ten Champ, auto-bid)

You look at the top 16 from the BCS and see how/where each team will qualify. After the auto-bids (7; 6 conf. champs and ND) and the automatic 2nd SEC team, there are 2 spots left for BCS bowls.

I've stated before, it all depends on which teams end up in the BCS National Championship Game, BUT we are looking good as far as qualifying (being in the Top 14 of the final BCS standings) and all the other factors for selection.

As you can see, there would be 3 teams available AS OF RIGHT NOW for at-large selection. And as I pointed out, there are 2 slots available. Stanford is one of those teams up for grabs, but they still play @ Oregon and @ UCLA to finish the year (1, maybe 2 more losses, and they won't qualify).

I tend to agree with CBS Sports Bowl Projections that if the bowls picked today, this is how it would look: http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/bowls/predictions?ttag=gen10_on_all_fb_na_txt_0001

Notre Dame wouldn't get passed over by the Rose Bowl as an undefeated team, and the reason the Rose Bowl gets to select them is because of Oregon being the #1 or #2 team and the Rose getting the 1st or second "replacement" selection. I just don't see the Rose selecting a 9-3 Pac 12 team when ND is there at 12-0. Fans, travel, media attention make the Rose forget the Pac 12 and take the media darlings.

That sets up a ND vs. Nebraska Rose Bowl; OU would then get selected by the Fiesta Bowl in maintaining its Big 12 relationship in replacing K-State.

Then the order of selection is Fiesta, Sugar, and Orange. Fiesta would love to matchup OU vs. an SEC team, likely LSU or potentially a Florida or Texas A&M, all very intriguing games.

The Sugar would take Bama as the SEC Champ and select Clemson as at-large, with an incredible matchup there. ACC vs. SEC. High-powered O vs. stout D. Swinney, a Bama grad, going against his former school in the Sugar Bowl where the 1992 Bama team, the team he played on, won a national title.

And lastly, the Orange gets FSU vs. Rutgers/Louisville.

Obviously the new standings will look different than above, but teams outside those top 16 I posted won't be much of a threat, unless they win out. For example, Texas is/was #17 and plays at K-State to end the season. If Texas is 9-2 and wins that game, they all the sudden look like a good at-large team to the BCS bowls. But they'd have to jump OU and OU throttled them 63-21. UCLA or USC, at #18 and #19, could win out and defeat Oregon in the Pac 12 title game. Then all the sudden, they are in the Rose Bowl, Oregon's an at-large, and everything is blown up.

Just let it play out, but that's how I (and CBS) see it right now.

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Good analysis


Nov 11, 2012, 4:13 PM

Don't forget about La Tech. If they win out could be above Louisville and grab an auto bid.

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Re: Good analysis


Nov 11, 2012, 4:19 PM

Thanks. You are correct, but the stipulation there is that they have to be above Louisville AND be in the Top 16 of the BCS. Right now, I don't see how they jump the 4 teams ahead of them in the BCS (Nebraska, Texas, UCLA, and USC). Unless all those teams lose somewhere. Texas could lose to K-State and UCLA/USC play each other and then the winner likely gets Oregon in the Pac 12 title game, but they'd still have to jump Nebraska and the Huskers clearly look like they will win out in the B1G. And you throw in teams like Oregon State, Stanford, Louisville, Rutgers, etc. that will be far enough ahead of LaTech that even if they lose they will remain ahead of them.

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Re: Good analysis


Nov 11, 2012, 4:23 PM [ in reply to Good analysis ]

Oh yea, and LaTech could stumble somewhere in these next 2 games. The 2 teams they play are Utah State at home and @ San Jose State. Sure that sounds easy, but both teams are 8-2. Utah State is 4-1 in the WAC and San Jose St. is 4-0. LaTech is 4-0 as well. So these 3 teams are vying for their conference title. And if it comes down to the final game at SJSU, look out LaTech!

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Had it backwards


Nov 11, 2012, 4:24 PM

SJSU is 4-1 in conf. and Utah State is 4-0. Either way, it will come down to their final 2 games for the WAC

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Bama's DL vs CU's OL


Nov 11, 2012, 4:21 PM

doesn't give me warm and fuzzy feelings.



#21

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Re: Bama's DL vs CU's OL


Nov 11, 2012, 4:26 PM

Me neither. But hey, Utah beat Bama in a Sugar Bowl not long ago. And no one gave them a chance. No offense to the Utes, but there's no way their players were the same caliber as ours are today.

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Re: BCS Standings (long, but good)


Nov 11, 2012, 4:27 PM

What happens if FSU looses the acccg? Will the orange have to take the 5 or 6 loss acc champion? Right now fsu is not playing good football.

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Re: BCS Standings (long, but good)


Nov 11, 2012, 4:30 PM

You are correct. ACC Champion, if not FSU, would go to the OB. We would still, IMO, get an at-large over FSU b/c of their 2 BAD BAD BAD losses, and us sitting at just 1 loss.

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Let me clarify


Nov 11, 2012, 4:32 PM

Since the ACC Champion in that scenario would NOT be above LaTech, that would mean LaTech could get an at-large auto-bid if they finish in the Top 16 of the BCS Standings. If they do so, they would take our at-large spot and they would be in the Sugar, most likely.

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Would Be Nice To Sodomize USUCK, Auburn and Bama


Nov 11, 2012, 5:01 PM

in one year, then I could tell any dirty coot foodservice employee, not only go get me a refill, but that the shartbag team and SEC suck.

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