You know, in the past 25 years I have never once

Feb 28, 2019, 8:14 AM

received a call from a national pollster. NEVER. I've received only 2 poll calls EVER, and they were push polls for local elections. I eventually sniffed those out and confronted the pollster and asked who he was conducting the poll for and they hung up. And I had a landline up until just a few years ago.

I have never been picked to serve on a jury. EVER. Three times on jury duty, never once picked to even make the first cut at being on a jury.

Anyway, this article reminded me of the above:

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/02/27/phone-polling-crisis-1191637

Pew: Phone polling in crisis again

The Pew Research Center reports that the response rate for its phone polls last year fell to just 6 percent.

And trust me I'd JUMP at the opportunity to participate in a national political poll. Mainly because I've never been contacted and I know I would blow their curve.

Polls have been way off for a long time. I think I understand why.

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correctly. The number of respondents influences the margin of error of the poll. If the response is low, it should be reflected in the margin of error. Most people form opinions from polls, without considering what the poll actually means.

If a poll says 55% of people like Donald Trump, and the margin of error is plus-minus 3%, then all we can say is that we can be 95% confident that a majority of people like Trump. It does not mean that it is a fact that more people like Trump.. The only way you know that is by asking the entire population. If the same poll has plus-minus 6%, then what that poll says is that we cannot be be 95% confident that most people like Trump. It definitely does not mean that more people like Trump.

You know, in the past 25 years I have never once

If I don't recognize the number, I ain't answerin'.***

Everyone is responsible for using the information

The toughest thing is probably to get a good random sample.

Even the margin for error is wrong IMO

Having people call back would obviously be self-selecting.

Wouldn't be self selecting because they already attempted to

You don't want the people who call back to be

Even if a poll did show with 95% confidence

It's probably because Gallup, Harris, etc., could see that

Voted every election and midterm since graduating college***

Re: You know, in the past 25 years I have never once

Re: You know, in the past 25 years I have never once

Think I got that same push poll.***

I had jury duty last week.

It's funny to me that news agencies still cite polls

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