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All-In [26968]
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Week 8 Prodigal Football Ratings
Oct 21, 2019, 12:50 PM
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Ohio St. is still well out in front. Have they played a single down of interesting football this year? They are just rolling teams, quietly. I haven't watched a game, and I don't think I've even seen a highlight. They might as well be wearing orange this year, and I'd never know it.
After Ohio St., the teams are starting to separate a bit. Wisconsin dropped out of the picture, and the other top teams shuffled around with wins on Saturday. SMU had another good win Saturday, dominating Temple. Three of their next four games are at Houston, at Memphis, and at Navy. If they run that, they should be in the same position as UCF has been in recent years, arguing, deservedly, for a spot at the adult table.
| Rank | Pvs | Team | W-L | PDiff | SOS |
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| 1 | 1 | Ohio St. | 7-0 | 1 | 20 | | 2 | 4 | LSU | 7-0 | 5 | 31 | | 3 | 5 | Clemson | 7-0 | 7 | 38 | | 4 | 3 | Alabama | 7-0 | 2 | 62 | | 5 | 7 | Penn St. | 7-0 | 6 | 73 | | 6 | 6 | Auburn | 6-1 | 16 | 7 | | 7 | 8 | Oklahoma | 7-0 | 4 | 94 | | 8 | 9 | SMU | 7-0 | 20 | 56 | | 9 | 11 | Baylor | 7-0 | 15 | 91 | | 10 | 12 | Appalachian St. | 6-0 | 12 | 103 | | 11 | 14 | Notre Dame | 5-1 | 11 | 27 | | 12 | 2 | Wisconsin | 6-1 | 3 | 77 | | 13 | 15 | Cincinnati | 6-1 | 44 | 17 | | 14 | 13 | Oregon | 6-1 | 9 | 59 | | 15 | 16 | Navy | 5-1 | 13 | 57 | | 16 | 17 | Florida | 7-1 | 21 | 69 | | 17 | 23 | Memphis | 6-1 | 17 | 78 | | 18 | 18 | Georgia | 6-1 | 8 | 100 | | 19 | 21 | Minnesota | 7-0 | 23 | 122 | | 20 | 20 | Texas | 5-2 | 36 | 12 | | 21 | 32 | Utah | 6-1 | 14 | 102 | | 22 | 10 | Boise St. | 6-1 | 24 | 89 | | 23 | 26 | Wake Forest | 6-1 | 35 | 81 | | 24 | 19 | Michigan | 5-2 | 37 | 25 | | 25 | 27 | Iowa | 5-2 | 29 | 36 |
Dropped out: #22 Missouri, #24 Tulane, #25 Arizona St.
ACC/SEC teams:
2. LSU
3. Clemson
4. Alabama
6. Auburn
16. Florida
18. Georgia
23. Wake Forest
30. Pittsburgh
31. Virginia
43. Missouri
44. Louisville
46. Texas A&M
47. Mississippi St.
48. North Carolina
49. Florida St.
54. Duke
60. South Carolina
62. NC State
64. Virginia Tech
68. Kentucky
69. Boston College
81. Miami
84. Syracuse
96. Ole Miss
103. Tennessee
108. Georgia Tech
112. Vanderbilt
117. Arkansas
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All-In [40344]
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where's your column for the "eye test"?
Oct 21, 2019, 1:00 PM
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thanks for putting this together, i do love to see how the stats show things that are different from the rest of it.
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All-In [26968]
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Ha! The whole point is to completely avoid eye tests!
Oct 21, 2019, 1:03 PM
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That's not to say I don't think the "eye test" is important. But like you said, I like seeing what numbers say, in an objective way. It helps in cases where my eyes don't always see.
This rating is extremely simplistic, only going by wins/losses, and points scored/allowed. What I like about it is that it presents an objective comparison of schedules, as opposed to just saying "they haven't played anybody". This rating actually adds up the records of all the opponents.
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All-In [40344]
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the SOS is based off of what has already happened right?
Oct 21, 2019, 1:25 PM
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like wins and losses of opponents that you've already played or all opponents on your schedule?
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All-In [26968]
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Correct, only what has happened...
Oct 21, 2019, 1:54 PM
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I do have a "remaining schedule" strength calculated for each team, that I don't normally post here.
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All-In [26968]
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For example, one would assume Alabama has played
Oct 21, 2019, 2:01 PM
[ in reply to Ha! The whole point is to completely avoid eye tests! ] |
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better teams than SMU. But according to the math, that's arguable at best. SMU has a higher SOS according to my formula, and also a much higher remaining SOS! It is extremely likely they will finish with a tougher schedule than Alabama. These ratings don't care what conference a team is in, it's just wins and losses.
The only reason Alabama is ranked higher than SMU in my rating is that Alabama has more thoroughly dominated their opponents (scoring margin).
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All-In [38187]
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Re: Week 8 Prodigal Football Ratings
Oct 21, 2019, 1:00 PM
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CU Medallion [60043]
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Re: Week 8 Prodigal Football Ratings
Oct 21, 2019, 1:16 PM
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Looking at SOS, its amazing how you can come up with something that is relatively honest way to look at results, however the people who are almighty and in charge cannot seemingly put together any resemblance of a Top 25.
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Oculus Spirit [83116]
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Oculus Spirit [81061]
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Because THE osu is well, THE osu, they'll probably get a #1
Oct 21, 2019, 1:32 PM
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ranking next week, and will stay there as they continue to play the powerhouses of St luke's school of the blind and the Fighting Northwestern Insurance Salesmen.
My only hope is that maybe Wisconsin or The Penn St kid touchers brutally take out THE osu, and maybe the Fighting Harboughs can do the same the following week just to shut the rest of THE osu fans up.
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Oculus Spirit [75717]
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I can't wrap my mind around Ohio State and an SOS
Oct 21, 2019, 1:37 PM
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of 20. Is that projecting out the rest of their games?
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All-In [26968]
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It's wins and losses...their opponents are 27-14
Oct 21, 2019, 1:58 PM
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when not playing Ohio St., which is a very good number. This includes 6-0 Cincinnati, 5-1 Indiana, 4-2 Michigan St., 4-2 Nebraska, 4-2 FAU. So while they haven't played any elite teams yet, they've played several decent to good teams. And it helps tremendously in my rating that they are one of the few teams who haven't played an FCS school. That really hurts my SOS rating.
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Oculus Spirit [75717]
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Fair is fair. Tangent could you have imagined 20
Oct 21, 2019, 3:42 PM
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years ago seeing Nebraska on the schedule and thinking of then as pretty much a nobody?
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All-In [26968]
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You don't have to be much younger than me...
Oct 21, 2019, 3:46 PM
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To not remember the great Nebraska program. Eric Crouch's squad, when I was a teenager, was pretty much the last of it, I think.
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All-In [26968]
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This is funny...the only team who has had any lead on OSU
Oct 21, 2019, 2:06 PM
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this season is the worst team on their schedule, Miami (OH). Miami led the Buckeyes 5-0 in the first quarter. The game ended 76-5.
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